Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Polymarket traders put "Likud" at 31.5% on "Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place". $234 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 39 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 28.

Most likely right now
Likud
–32%
PoliticsVol $234Total volume $234Liquidity $83Kin 25 days (Oct 28)
Current probability

Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Likud
31.5%
–
Yashar
29.0%
–
Party D
13.1%
–
Party F
13.1%
–
Party I
13.1%
–
Party P
13.1%
–
Party R
13.1%
–
Party S
13.1%
–
Party V
13.1%
–
Other
13.1%
–
Party E
13.1%
–
Party G
13.1%
–
Party O
13.1%
–
Party Q
13.1%
–
Party W
13.1%
–
Party L
13.0%
–
Party J
12.6%
–
Ra'am
12.5%
–
Party B
10.6%
–
Party C
10.6%
–
Party M
10.6%
–
Party N
10.6%
–
Party T
10.6%
–
Joint List
10.5%
–
Party H
10.1%
–
Party K
10.1%
–
Party U
10.1%
–
Party A
10.1%
–
Otzma Yehudit
4.10%
–
Blue and White
4.10%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.