Kansas Senate Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Roger Marshall (R)" at 61.5% on "Kansas Senate Election Winner". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. $19K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Roger Marshall (R)
▼3.062%
PoliticsVol $19KTotal volume $851KLiquidity $382KComments 10in 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Roger Marshall (R)
61.5%
▼3.0
Adam Hamilton (D)
38.5%
▲3.0

Probability over time

Roger Marshall (R)
Adam Hamilton (D)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.