Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Hamilton Wins" at 41.0% on "Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. $161 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Hamilton Wins
▲6.041%
PoliticsVol $161Total volume $7.2KLiquidity $113Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Hamilton Wins
41.0%
▲6.0
Marshall 0-5%
36.5%
▲0.5
Marshall 5-10%
13.5%
▼5.0
Marshall 10-15%
11.5%
▲6.5
Marshall 15-20%
4.50%
▲2.8
Marshall 25-30%
3.25%
▲0.7
Marshall 30%+
1.25%
–
Marshall 20-25%
1.15%
–
Probability over time
Hamilton Wins
Marshall 0-5%
Marshall 5-10%
Marshall 10-15%
Marshall 15-20%
Marshall 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
