Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
22%
PoliticsVol $35Total volume $835Liquidity $34Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
21.5%
Democrat Wins
19.0%
2.5
Republican 25-30%
15.0%
1.5
Republican 20-25%
12.0%
3.5
Republican 10-15%
11.5%
0.5
Republican 15-20%
8.50%
3.5
Republican 0-5%
8.00%
1.5
Republican 30%+
2.35%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.