Kathmandu Mayoral Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "RSP" at 53.0% on "Kathmandu Mayoral Election Winner". $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
RSP
–53%
PoliticsVol $40Total volume $40Liquidity $698in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 14 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
RSP
53.0%
–
Independent
33.5%
–
Congress
27.5%
–
UML
22.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.