Kentucky Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 29.5% on "Kentucky Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. $433 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▲5.530%
PoliticsVol $433Total volume $7.2KLiquidity $138Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
29.5%
▲5.5
Republican 15-20%
21.5%
▼1.5
Republican 0-10%
17.9%
▲4.3
Republican 20-25%
14.5%
▼3.0
Republican 25-30%
12.5%
▼2.0
Republican 30-35%
4.50%
▼0.5
Republican 40-45%
3.90%
▼1.4
Republican 35-40%
2.90%
▲0.8
Democrat Wins
1.50%
–
Republican 45%+
0.70%
–
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 0-10%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
