Kentucky Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 16.5% on "Kentucky Senate Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $123 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
▼1.017%
PoliticsVol $123Total volume $993Liquidity $60Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
16.5%
▼1.0
Republican 20-25%
15.5%
▼1.0
Republican 15-20%
12.0%
▲0.5
Republican 0-10%
11.0%
▼4.0
Republican 40-45%
10.0%
▼14.0
Republican 30-35%
8.50%
▲3.0
Republican 35-40%
8.00%
▼1.5
Republican 45%+
7.00%
▼0.5
Republican 10-15%
6.50%
▼14.0
Democrat Wins
2.55%
▼5.8
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 0-10%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
