Khamenei # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

Polymarket traders put "<5" at 79.5% on "Khamenei # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?". $788 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 23.

Most likely right now
<5
–80%
PoliticsVol $788Total volume $708Liquidity $3.8Kin 10 days (Oct 23)
Current probability

Oct 14 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
<5
79.5%
–
5-9
17.0%
–
20-24
8.00%
–
10-14
3.00%
–
15-19
3.00%
–
25-29
2.95%
–
40-44
2.95%
–
55-59
2.95%
–
30-34
2.90%
–
45-49
2.90%
–
35-39
2.40%
–
50-54
2.20%
–
60+
0.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.