Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

Polymarket traders put "<5" at 98.8% on "Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?". $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 16.

Most likely right now
<5
–99%
PoliticsVol $1.4KTotal volume $1.3KLiquidity $14Kin 10 days (Oct 16)
Current probability

Oct 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
<5
98.8%
–
10-14
1.35%
–
5-9
1.30%
–
15-19
1.30%
–
20-24
1.30%
–
25-29
1.30%
–
30-34
1.30%
–
40-44
1.00%
–
45-49
1.00%
–
35-39
0.90%
–
50-54
0.50%
–
55-59
0.50%
–
60+
0.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.