Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

Most likely right now
Łukasz Gibała
1.071%
PoliticsVol $158Total volume $20KLiquidity $212Kin 1 months (Sep 27)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Łukasz Gibała
71.0%
1.0
Monika Piątkowska
16.0%
5.5
Daria Gosek-Popiołek
5.45%
Aleksandra Owca
3.30%
0.8
Grażyna Zofia Świat
1.90%
0.8
Michał Drewnicki
1.50%
Marian Banaś
1.25%
Marianna Schreiber
0.85%
1.1
Rafał Sonik
0.65%
Rafał Komarewicz
0.60%
2.6
Jan Hoffman
0.50%
Łukasz Wantuch
0.50%
Marta Ratuszyńska
0.50%
Paweł Śliz
0.35%
Bartosz Bocheńczak
0.30%
Sławomir Pietrzyk
0.25%
Michał Klimek
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.