KS-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 40%+" at 27.0% on "KS-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 40%+
▲2.527%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 40%+
27.0%
▲2.5
Republican 25-30%
26.5%
▲2.0
Republican 20-25%
26.0%
▼3.0
Republican 15-20%
26.0%
▲2.5
Republican 35-40%
25.5%
▲1.5
Republican 10-15%
25.5%
▲1.0
Republican 30-35%
21.0%
▼6.5
Republican 0-10%
18.5%
▲2.0
Democrat Wins
16.6%
▲2.9
Probability over time
Republican 40%+
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
