KS-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 26.5% on "KS-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 8.0%p from yesterday. $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▼8.027%
PoliticsVol $1.4KTotal volume $13KLiquidity $77Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
26.5%
▼8.0
Republican 25-30%
19.5%
▼1.5
Republican 30-35%
17.0%
▼1.8
Republican 15-20%
16.5%
▲2.0
Republican 35-40%
9.10%
–
Republican 0-10%
4.75%
▲0.8
Republican 40%+
4.40%
▼7.8
Republican 10-15%
4.40%
–
Democrat Wins
4.20%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 0-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
