KS-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 9-12%" at 20.5% on "KS-02 House Election Margin of Victory". $272 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 9-12%
–21%
PoliticsVol $272Total volume $12KLiquidity $82Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 9-12%
20.5%
–
Republican 6-9%
18.1%
▲1.1
Republican 3-6%
17.5%
▲3.0
Republican 12-15%
15.0%
▼2.0
Republican 21%+
14.2%
▲9.4
Republican 15-18%
11.0%
▲2.0
Republican 18-21%
8.75%
▼3.1
Republican 0-3%
4.90%
–
Democrat 0-3%
3.55%
–
Democrat 3%+
1.35%
–
Probability over time
Republican 9-12%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 21%+
Republican 15-18%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
