KS-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 29.4% on "KS-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Unchanged from yesterday. $16 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
–29%
PoliticsVol $16Total volume $13KLiquidity $107Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
29.4%
–
Democrat 25-30%
22.7%
▲5.6
Democrat 15-20%
22.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 10-15%
16.1%
–
Democrat 5-10%
6.00%
▲0.7
Democrat 30%+
4.05%
–
Democrat 0-5%
3.45%
–
Republican Wins
1.75%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 30%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
