KS-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Ron Estes (R)" at 95.5% on "KS-04 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Ron Estes (R)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $80KLiquidity $53Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Ron Estes (R)
95.5%
–
Katy Tyndell (D)
4.50%
–
Probability over time
Ron Estes (R)
Katy Tyndell (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
