KS-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 31.5% on "KS-04 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.0%p from yesterday. $305 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▼4.032%
PoliticsVol $305Total volume $11KLiquidity $94Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
31.5%
▼4.0
Republican 10-15%
30.1%
▲2.1
Republican 20-25%
22.5%
–
Republican 25-30%
8.50%
▲0.5
Democrat Wins
6.85%
▲0.5
Republican 5-10%
6.10%
–
Republican 0-5%
4.50%
–
Republican 30%+
4.40%
▼1.1
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Democrat Wins
Republican 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
