KS-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 30%+" at 33.0% on "KS-04 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 30%+
▼0.533%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 30%+
33.0%
▼0.5
Republican 15-20%
33.0%
▼5.5
Republican 25-30%
31.0%
▼4.0
Republican 0-5%
29.0%
▼3.0
Republican 10-15%
27.5%
▼6.5
Republican 20-25%
27.0%
▼6.0
Republican 5-10%
24.0%
▼9.0
Democrat Wins
23.0%
▼7.0
Probability over time
Republican 30%+
Republican 15-20%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
