KY-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 35-40%" at 29.5% on "KY-01 House Election Margin of Victory". $315 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 35-40%
–30%
PoliticsVol $315Total volume $14KLiquidity $74Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 35-40%
29.5%
–
Republican 15-25%
28.9%
▲19.4
Republican 40-45%
19.0%
▼5.5
Republican 45-50%
17.5%
▲0.5
Democrat Wins
12.5%
▲12.2
Republican 30-35%
10.5%
▼5.5
Republican 55%+
7.75%
▲4.6
Republican 0-15%
6.95%
▲0.8
Republican 50-55%
5.50%
▲1.0
Republican 25-30%
3.35%
▼1.3
Probability over time
Republican 35-40%
Republican 15-25%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 45-50%
Democrat Wins
Republican 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
