KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-10%" at 27.5% on "KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 0-10%
▼1.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $15Liquidity $1.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-10%
27.5%
▼1.0
Republican 25-30%
27.0%
▼2.5
Republican 20-25%
25.5%
▼4.5
Republican 10-20%
24.5%
▲0.5
Republican 40-45%
23.5%
▼5.0
Republican 35-40%
23.0%
▼3.0
Republican 45-50%
22.0%
▼2.0
Republican 30-35%
21.5%
▼6.0
Democrat Wins
20.8%
▲16.7
Republican 50%+
20.5%
▼3.5
Probability over time
Republican 0-10%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 10-20%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
