KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 35-40%" at 36.5% on "KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. $2.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 35-40%
▲5.537%
PoliticsVol $2.2KTotal volume $19KLiquidity $143Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 35-40%
36.5%
▲5.5
Republican 30-35%
26.0%
▼4.5
Republican 25-30%
17.6%
▲1.3
Republican 40-45%
14.5%
▲8.0
Republican 50%+
4.60%
▼10.1
Republican 45-50%
2.45%
▼2.4
Republican 20-25%
1.65%
–
Republican 10-20%
0.60%
–
Republican 0-10%
0.60%
–
Democrat Wins
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 50%+
Republican 45-50%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
