KY-03 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Morgan McGarvey (D)" at 95.7% on "KY-03 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Morgan McGarvey (D)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $47KLiquidity $36Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Morgan McGarvey (D)
95.7%
–
Maria Rodriguez (R)
2.40%
–
Probability over time
Morgan McGarvey (D)
Maria Rodriguez (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
