KY-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 34.5% on "KY-03 House Election Margin of Victory". $140 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
–35%
PoliticsVol $140Total volume $13KLiquidity $98Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
34.5%
–
Democrat 25-30%
33.0%
▲4.5
Democrat 35-40%
16.5%
▼5.0
Democrat 40-45%
10.3%
▲0.5
Democrat 45%+
9.75%
▼2.7
Democrat 20-25%
5.05%
▼1.9
Democrat 15-20%
5.05%
–
Democrat 0-5%
0.60%
–
Democrat 5-15%
0.15%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 45%+
Democrat 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
