KY-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 33.0% on "KY-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
▲0.533%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $39Liquidity $9.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
33.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 5-15%
28.0%
▼10.0
Democrat 25-30%
27.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 45%+
22.5%
▼10.0
Democrat 40-45%
22.5%
▼9.5
Democrat 20-25%
22.5%
▼9.0
Democrat 35-40%
21.5%
▼6.0
Democrat 0-5%
21.5%
▼9.0
Democrat 15-20%
20.5%
▼9.5
Republican Wins
3.05%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 5-15%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 45%+
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
