KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 55-60%" at 28.5% on "KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 55-60%
–28%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $10KLiquidity $119Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 55-60%
28.5%
–
Republican 50-55%
26.6%
▼0.5
Republican 60-65%
18.1%
▲0.5
Republican 45-50%
17.2%
–
Republican 65-70%
5.55%
▼2.1
Republican 0-30%
4.95%
–
Republican 30-40%
4.50%
–
Republican 40-45%
3.60%
–
Democrat Wins
0.30%
–
Republican 70%+
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Republican 55-60%
Republican 50-55%
Republican 60-65%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 65-70%
Republican 0-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
