KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 50-55%" at 27.0% on "KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 50-55%
▼1.527%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $57Liquidity $10Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 50-55%
27.0%
▼1.5
Republican 70%+
26.5%
▼6.5
Republican 60-65%
26.5%
▼1.0
Republican 30-40%
26.0%
▼2.5
Republican 55-60%
25.5%
▼7.5
Republican 45-50%
25.0%
▼7.0
Republican 40-45%
20.0%
▼5.5
Republican 0-30%
20.0%
▼5.5
Republican 65-70%
17.0%
▼7.5
Democrat Wins
3.70%
▼19.3
Probability over time
Republican 50-55%
Republican 70%+
Republican 60-65%
Republican 30-40%
Republican 55-60%
Republican 45-50%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
