KY-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-3%" at 20.5% on "KY-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 0-3%
▼3.021%
PoliticsVol $1.1KTotal volume $14KLiquidity $101Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 0-3%
20.5%
▼3.0
Republican 12-15%
20.1%
▲17.0
Republican 6-9%
17.5%
▲7.0
Republican 3-6%
15.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 0-3%
14.5%
▼5.0
Democrat 6%+
6.10%
▲1.9
Republican 9-12%
4.40%
▼2.1
Republican 18%+
3.40%
–
Democrat 3-6%
3.00%
▼1.6
Republican 15-18%
1.70%
▲0.7

Probability over time

Republican 0-3%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 6%+
02550751008/259/79/149/219/2810/510/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.