LA-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Democratic Party" at 98.2% on "LA-02 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democratic Party
–98%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $62KLiquidity $50Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democratic Party
98.2%
–
Republican Party
1.05%
–
Probability over time
Democratic Party
Republican Party
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
