LA-05 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Republican Party" at 94.8% on "LA-05 House Election Winner". Up 1.8%p from yesterday. $936 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican Party
▲1.895%
PoliticsVol $936Total volume $26KLiquidity $58Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican Party
94.8%
▲1.8
Democratic Party
4.20%
▼1.6

Probability over time

Republican Party
Democratic Party
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.