LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?
Polymarket traders put "Raman 20+%" at 32.5% on "LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?". $5 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Raman 20+%
–33%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $5Liquidity $1.5Kin 1 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Raman 20+%
32.5%
–
Bass 0-4%
25.0%
–
Raman 4-8%
25.0%
–
Bass 4-8%
24.0%
–
Bass 12-16%
21.0%
–
Bass 16-20%
20.5%
–
Bass 20+%
15.0%
–
Raman 8-12%
12.5%
–
Bass 8-12%
11.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
