Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?

Most likely right now
125-128
8.426%
PoliticsVol $9.6KTotal volume $11KLiquidity $56Kin 2 months (Oct 12)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
125-128
26.2%
8.4
121-124
23.0%
5.0
129-132
17.5%
1.5
117-120
9.05%
4.3
133-136
6.95%
2.5
137+
2.90%
<117
1.65%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.