Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 20.5% on "Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $48 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▼1.021%
PoliticsVol $48Total volume $5.8KLiquidity $122Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
20.5%
▼1.0
Republican 15-20%
18.0%
▲0.5
Republican 10-15%
17.5%
▼3.0
Republican 20-25%
14.5%
▲5.5
Republican 0-5%
12.5%
▼8.5
Republican 25-30%
7.55%
▲1.1
Republican 35%+
5.75%
▲2.8
Democrat Wins
5.50%
▲0.5
Republican 30-35%
4.70%
▲0.8
Probability over time
Republican 5-10%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
