MA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 33.0% on "MA-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▲5.033%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $134Liquidity $9.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
33.0%
▲5.0
Democrat 20-25%
32.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 25-30%
32.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 45%+
29.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 40-45%
27.5%
▼10.0
Democrat 30-35%
27.0%
▼9.0
Democrat 5-15%
25.5%
▼5.5
Democrat 0-5%
25.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 15-20%
24.5%
▼3.0
Republican Wins
1.45%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 45%+
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
