MA-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Jake Auchincloss (D)" at 97.3% on "MA-04 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Jake Auchincloss (D)
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $49KLiquidity $35Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Jake Auchincloss (D)
97.3%
–
Tom Stalcup (R)
1.10%
–
Probability over time
Jake Auchincloss (D)
Tom Stalcup (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
