MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 25.5% on "MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory". $586 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
–26%
PoliticsVol $586Total volume $13KLiquidity $131Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
25.5%
–
Democrat 35-40%
24.3%
▼5.1
Democrat 25-30%
17.4%
▲5.7
Democrat 20-25%
13.0%
▲0.9
Democrat 5-15%
11.5%
▲9.3
Democrat 40-45%
8.00%
–
Democrat 15-20%
3.40%
▼0.7
Democrat 45%+
3.35%
▼2.6
Democrat 0-5%
2.90%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 5-15%
Democrat 40-45%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
