MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 28.5% on "MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 10.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▼10.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
28.5%
▼10.0
Democrat 30-35%
28.5%
▼7.0
Democrat 15-20%
26.5%
▼7.5
Democrat 20-25%
25.5%
▼14.0
Democrat 0-5%
24.5%
▼12.0
Democrat 40-45%
24.0%
▼11.0
Democrat 25-30%
23.5%
▼5.0
Democrat 5-15%
23.5%
▼12.5
Republican Wins
14.6%
▲13.2
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
