MA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 27.5% on "MA-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 6.0%p from yesterday. $435 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▼6.028%
PoliticsVol $435Total volume $19KLiquidity $161Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
27.5%
▼6.0
Democrat 30-35%
27.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 40-45%
16.5%
–
Democrat 25-30%
15.5%
▲3.0
Democrat 20-25%
7.25%
–
Democrat 45%+
6.15%
–
Democrat 15-20%
1.25%
–
Democrat 5-15%
0.30%
–
Republican Wins
0.10%
–
Democrat 0-5%
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 45%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
