MA-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 30.0% on "MA-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.5%p from yesterday. $186 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
6.530%
PoliticsVol $186Total volume $385Liquidity $10Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
30.0%
6.5
Democrat 55%+
24.5%
1.5
Democrat 50-55%
24.5%
0.5
Democrat 25-30%
24.0%
9.5
Democrat 0-15%
23.0%
6.0
Democrat 40-45%
21.0%
5.0
Democrat 45-50%
20.0%
14.5
Democrat 15-25%
19.0%
17.0
Democrat 30-35%
15.0%
0.5
Republican Wins
3.75%

Probability over time

Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 55%+
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 0-15%
Democrat 40-45%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.