MA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 45-50%" at 31.5% on "MA-08 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 45-50%
–32%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $7.7KLiquidity $118Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 45-50%
31.5%
–
Democrat 40-45%
29.5%
–
Democrat 50-55%
14.5%
▼5.5
Democrat 55%+
6.45%
▲1.9
Democrat 30-35%
5.05%
–
Democrat 35-40%
4.55%
–
Democrat 25-30%
3.60%
▼2.2
Democrat 15-25%
3.30%
▼0.8
Democrat 0-15%
2.05%
–
Republican Wins
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 55%+
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
