MA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 31.5% on "MA-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
▼3.532%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $191Liquidity $9.8Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
31.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 15-20%
29.0%
▼5.0
Democrat 5-10%
28.0%
–
Democrat 0-5%
27.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 25-30%
25.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 35%+
25.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 10-15%
22.5%
▼7.5
Democrat 20-25%
15.0%
▼11.0
Republican Wins
3.35%
▼9.2
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 35%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
