Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15-20%" at 29.5% on "Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. $28 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
▲6.030%
PoliticsVol $28Total volume $3.6KLiquidity $124Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
29.5%
▲6.0
Democrat 10-15%
28.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 5-10%
12.5%
▼6.5
Democrat 0-5%
9.00%
▼2.5
Democrat 20-25%
9.00%
–
Republican 0-5%
6.50%
–
Democrat 25%+
6.45%
▲0.8
Independent Wins
3.75%
–
Republican 5%+
0.45%
–

Probability over time

Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 20-25%
Republican 0-5%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.