Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-15%" at 27.5% on "Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 10-15%
1.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $2.5KLiquidity $56Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 10-15%
27.5%
1.0
Democrat 5-10%
19.5%
Democrat 15-20%
17.5%
0.5
Democrat 20-25%
17.0%
Democrat 0-5%
9.50%
3.5
Democrat 25%+
6.00%
6.5
Republican 0-5%
5.50%
Independent Wins
1.70%
Republican 5%+
0.70%

Probability over time

Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 25%+
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.