Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Polymarket traders put "Jackson 3-6%" at 31.5% on "Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $120 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Jackson 3-6%
▲0.532%
PoliticsVol $120Total volume $15KLiquidity $160Kin 23 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Jackson 3-6%
31.5%
▲0.5
Jackson 6-9%
20.5%
–
Jackson 0-3%
15.5%
–
Collins 6-9%
10.5%
▲0.5
Collins 3-6%
8.00%
▲2.5
Collins 0-3%
5.50%
▼17.0
Jackson 9-12%
5.30%
–
Collins 9-12%
5.25%
–
Collins 12%+
2.55%
–
Jackson 12%+
1.55%
–

Probability over time

Jackson 3-6%
Jackson 6-9%
Jackson 0-3%
Collins 6-9%
Collins 3-6%
Collins 0-3%
02550751008/259/79/159/2310/110/910/11
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.