Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Polymarket traders put "Republican 6-9%" at 34.0% on "Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". $22 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 6-9%
–34%
PoliticsVol $22Total volume $2.6KLiquidity $79Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 6-9%
34.0%
–
Democrat 0-3%
18.0%
▲0.5
Republican 0-3%
15.0%
–
Democrat 3-6%
13.0%
–
Democrat 6-9%
9.50%
–
Republican 3-6%
9.00%
–
Republican 9-12%
3.80%
–
Democrat 12%+
3.55%
–
Democrat 9-12%
3.05%
–
Republican 12%+
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
