Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?

Polymarket traders put "March 31, 2027" at 21.5% on "Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?". $47K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 1.

Most likely right now
March 31, 2027
–22%
PoliticsVol $47KTotal volume $47KLiquidity $215Kin 5 months (Apr 1)
Current probability

Nov 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
March 31, 2027
21.5%
–
December 31, 2026
15.0%
–
November 30, 2026
6.50%
–
November 15, 2026
4.45%
–
November 8, 2026
2.05%
–
November 6, 2026
1.00%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.