Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by...?

Polymarket traders put "Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by...?" at 3.4%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
3%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $3.4KLiquidity $9.4Kin 2 months (Nov 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
3.35%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.