Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 22.4% on "Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.9%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
4.922%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.4KLiquidity $87Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
22.4%
4.9
Democrat 25-30%
21.5%
1.0
Democrat 20-25%
16.5%
6.5
Democrat 15-20%
14.0%
1.0
Democrat 5-10%
8.00%
14.0
Democrat 10-15%
6.50%
11.0
Democrat 35-40%
6.50%
3.5
Democrat 40%+
6.00%
5.0
Democrat 0-5%
4.50%
1.5
Republican Wins
3.55%
1.5

Probability over time

Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 10-15%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.