MD-02 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Johnny Olszewski (D)" at 95.0% on "MD-02 House Election Winner". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Johnny Olszewski (D)
▼0.595%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $25KLiquidity $40Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Johnny Olszewski (D)
95.0%
▼0.5
Dave Wallace (R)
5.00%
▲0.5

Probability over time

Johnny Olszewski (D)
Dave Wallace (R)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.