MD-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 32.5% on "MD-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▼1.033%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $16KLiquidity $185Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
32.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 30-35%
28.1%
–
Democrat 25-30%
15.5%
–
Democrat 40-45%
11.9%
▲1.1
Democrat 20-25%
4.40%
–
Democrat 45%+
3.15%
▲1.9
Republican Wins
0.45%
–
Democrat 5-15%
0.40%
–
Democrat 15-20%
0.35%
–
Democrat 0-5%
0.30%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 45%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
