MD-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Democrat 75-80%
▲2.039%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $259Liquidity $9.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 75-80%
38.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 90%+
35.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 70-75%
32.5%
▲7.0
Democrat 80-85%
27.0%
▼8.5
Democrat 50-60%
27.0%
▼9.5
Democrat 0-50%
26.0%
▼10.0
Democrat 85-90%
25.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 65-70%
23.0%
▼14.0
Republican Wins
2.70%
▲2.2
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
