MD-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 27.5% on "MD-06 House Election Margin of Victory". $7 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
–28%
PoliticsVol $7Total volume $11KLiquidity $127Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
27.5%
–
Democrat 15-20%
26.7%
▼0.7
Democrat 25%+
24.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 10-15%
18.6%
▲1.0
Democrat 0-5%
5.00%
▲0.5
Democrat 5-10%
3.05%
–
Republican 5%+
0.45%
▼0.9
Republican 0-5%
0.30%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 25%+
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
