MD-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 5-10%" at 34.5% on "MD-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 5-10%
▼0.535%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $30Liquidity $9.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 5-10%
34.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 10-15%
32.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 0-5%
30.5%
▼6.5
Democrat 25%+
30.0%
▲2.0
Democrat 20-25%
30.0%
▼4.5
Republican 5%+
28.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 15-20%
26.0%
▼1.0
Republican 0-5%
0.60%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 25%+
Democrat 20-25%
Republican 5%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
