MD-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 75-80%" at 28.0% on "MD-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 75-80%
▲4.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $48Liquidity $9.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 75-80%
28.0%
▲4.0
Democrat 70-75%
27.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 50-55%
27.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 40-50%
27.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 65-70%
26.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 0-40%
23.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 55-60%
20.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 60-65%
19.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 80%+
19.0%
▼7.5
Republican Wins
2.05%
▼7.1
Probability over time
Democrat 75-80%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 40-50%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 0-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
