MD-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 65-70%" at 29.5% on "MD-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.5%p from yesterday. $744 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 65-70%
▲3.530%
PoliticsVol $744Total volume $16KLiquidity $152Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 65-70%
29.5%
▲3.5
Democrat 60-65%
29.0%
▲4.5
Democrat 70-75%
25.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 55-60%
10.8%
▲4.2
Democrat 50-55%
7.25%
–
Democrat 75-80%
5.15%
▼6.6
Democrat 80%+
1.95%
–
Democrat 40-50%
0.15%
–
Democrat 0-40%
0.15%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 75-80%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
