ME-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-3%" at 22.5% on "ME-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $120 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 0-3%
▼1.023%
PoliticsVol $120Total volume $7.8KLiquidity $88Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-3%
22.5%
▼1.0
Republican 3-6%
22.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 0-3%
21.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 3-6%
14.8%
▼3.1
Republican 12%+
8.35%
▼0.6
Republican 6-9%
7.80%
–
Democrat 6-9%
5.35%
▼3.0
Republican 9-12%
4.95%
–
Democrat 12%+
2.90%
–
Democrat 9-12%
0.85%
–
Probability over time
Republican 0-3%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 3-6%
Republican 12%+
Republican 6-9%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
