ME-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 6-9%" at 38.5% on "ME-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Up 4.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 6-9%
▲4.539%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $156Liquidity $1.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 6-9%
38.5%
▲4.5
Republican 9-12%
36.5%
▲8.0
Republican 12%+
34.0%
▲11.5
Democrat 12%+
31.5%
▲10.0
Republican 0-3%
31.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 9-12%
30.5%
▲6.5
Republican 6-9%
27.0%
▼1.0
Republican 3-6%
25.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 0-3%
25.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 3-6%
24.0%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 6-9%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 12%+
Democrat 12%+
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 9-12%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
