Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "AfD 0-2%" at 35.5% on "Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory". $28 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 20.
Most likely right now
AfD 0-2%
–36%
PoliticsVol $28Total volume $28Liquidity $1.9Kin 9 days (Sep 20)
Current probability
Sep 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
AfD 0-2%
35.5%
–
AfD 10%+
34.5%
–
SPD 0-2%
32.5%
–
AfD 5-10%
31.5%
–
AfD 2-5%
26.0%
–
SPD 2-5%
24.5%
–
SPD 5-10%
15.5%
–
SPD 10%+
8.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
