MI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 28.0% on "MI-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $482 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▼1.528%
PoliticsVol $482Total volume $14KLiquidity $115Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
28.0%
▼1.5
Republican 15-20%
25.5%
▲1.5
Republican 10-15%
24.5%
▼3.0
Republican 20-25%
14.0%
▲7.0
Republican 0-5%
6.00%
▼2.5
Republican 25%+
3.65%
▼1.5
Democrat 0-5%
2.35%
–
Democrat 5%+
2.30%
–
Probability over time
Republican 5-10%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 25%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
