MI-02 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "John Moolenaar (R)" at 98.0% on "MI-02 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
John Moolenaar (R)
–98%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $54KLiquidity $32Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
John Moolenaar (R)
98.0%
–
Ben Ambrose (D)
0.80%
–

Probability over time

John Moolenaar (R)
Ben Ambrose (D)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.