MI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 25.4% on "MI-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.1%p from yesterday. $60 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▼1.125%
PoliticsVol $60Total volume $14KLiquidity $78Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
25.4%
▼1.1
Republican 15-20%
23.0%
▼1.5
Republican 25-30%
22.0%
▲12.0
Republican 30-35%
21.6%
▲7.5
Republican 10-15%
14.0%
–
Republican 35-40%
8.35%
–
Republican 0-10%
4.80%
–
Republican 40%+
4.30%
▼2.0
Democrat Wins
0.85%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
