MI-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Most likely right now
Republican 40%+
0.527%
PoliticsVol $21Total volume $71Liquidity $1.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 40%+
27.0%
0.5
Republican 30-35%
27.0%
3.5
Republican 35-40%
26.0%
2.5
Republican 0-10%
25.0%
1.5
Republican 20-25%
22.0%
10.0
Republican 25-30%
20.5%
5.0
Democrat Wins
10.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.