MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 33.0% on "MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▼3.533%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $180Liquidity $1.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
33.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 5-10%
30.5%
▼6.0
Democrat 35%+
29.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 30-35%
28.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 10-15%
28.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 0-5%
23.0%
▼10.5
Democrat 25-30%
22.5%
▼7.5
Democrat 15-20%
22.5%
▼12.0
Republican Wins
21.5%
▼7.5
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 35%+
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
