MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 30.5% on "MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $912 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▼0.531%
PoliticsVol $912Total volume $12KLiquidity $67Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
30.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 15-20%
27.0%
▲3.5
Democrat 25-30%
18.4%
▼3.3
Democrat 10-15%
11.0%
▼8.5
Democrat 30-35%
7.50%
▼0.7
Democrat 0-5%
7.20%
▲2.6
Democrat 5-10%
5.80%
▲1.4
Republican Wins
5.25%
▲0.5
Democrat 35%+
3.70%
▼0.9
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
