MI-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 40%+" at 31.5% on "MI-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 40%+
▼1.532%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $2.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 40%+
31.5%
▼1.5
Republican 15-20%
31.0%
▼2.0
Republican 10-15%
31.0%
▼2.5
Republican 30-35%
26.5%
▼2.0
Democrat Wins
24.5%
▲0.5
Republican 35-40%
23.5%
▼1.0
Republican 25-30%
23.0%
▼1.0
Republican 20-25%
23.0%
▼2.0
Republican 0-10%
23.0%
▼2.5
Probability over time
Republican 40%+
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 30-35%
Democrat Wins
Republican 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
