MI-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 29.5% on "MI-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Unchanged from yesterday. $147 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
–30%
PoliticsVol $147Total volume $20KLiquidity $129Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
29.5%
–
Republican 20-25%
29.5%
▼0.5
Republican 25-30%
22.5%
▲0.5
Republican 30-35%
9.50%
▲3.0
Republican 10-15%
8.40%
▼0.7
Democrat Wins
6.60%
–
Republican 35-40%
4.70%
▼0.9
Republican 40%+
4.10%
▲0.9
Republican 0-10%
1.50%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 10-15%
Democrat Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
