MI-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 6-9%" at 25.0% on "MI-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 6-9%
4.025%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $147Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 6-9%
25.0%
4.0
Democrat 12%+
25.0%
6.5
Democrat 3-6%
24.0%
6.5
Democrat 0-3%
19.0%
4.5
Democrat 9-12%
18.5%
1.0
Republican 6-9%
17.0%
7.5
Republican 3-6%
15.0%
5.0
Republican 12%+
14.0%
2.5
Republican 9-12%
8.00%
Republican 0-3%
8.00%
0.5

Probability over time

Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 12%+
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 9-12%
Republican 6-9%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.