MI-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-15%" at 32.5% on "MI-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 10-15%
▼2.033%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $21Liquidity $1.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 10-15%
32.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 30%+
31.5%
▼5.0
Democrat 5-10%
31.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 25-30%
27.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 15-20%
27.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 20-25%
26.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 0-5%
26.5%
▼5.0
Republican Wins
21.5%
▲15.5
Probability over time
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
