MI-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 34.5% on "MI-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.5%p from yesterday. $541 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▲6.535%
PoliticsVol $541Total volume $13KLiquidity $85Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
34.5%
▲6.5
Democrat 15-20%
30.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 10-15%
19.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 25-30%
6.65%
▼4.9
Democrat 5-10%
4.60%
–
Democrat 0-5%
4.45%
▲1.3
Democrat 30%+
0.70%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
