MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 30.5% on "MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $5 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▲1.031%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $13KLiquidity $72Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
30.5%
▲1.0
Republican 30-35%
23.0%
▼0.5
Republican 25-30%
17.0%
▼9.5
Republican 35-40%
15.9%
–
Republican 45%+
6.60%
▼2.3
Republican 40-45%
6.20%
–
Republican 5-15%
4.55%
▼0.8
Democrat Wins
4.35%
–
Republican 15-20%
3.90%
▼1.9
Republican 0-5%
0.40%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 45%+
Republican 40-45%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
