MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 26.0% on "MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.5%p from yesterday. $8 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▼3.526%
PoliticsVol $8Total volume $43Liquidity $2.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
26.0%
▼3.5
Republican 40-45%
25.5%
▼4.5
Republican 30-35%
25.5%
▼2.5
Republican 5-15%
24.5%
▼4.5
Republican 45%+
20.5%
▼1.0
Republican 15-20%
20.0%
▼1.5
Republican 35-40%
19.0%
▼6.0
Republican 25-30%
18.0%
▼5.5
Republican 0-5%
17.5%
▼4.5
Democrat Wins
13.5%
▼3.0
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 5-15%
Republican 45%+
Republican 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
